The No. 1 Texas Longhorns (4-0) will play their first conference game as a member of the SEC when they host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3) on Saturday afternoon. Texas has won all three of its games this season by at least 19 points, including a 51-3 win over Louisiana-Monroe last week. Mississippi State is on a three-game losing streak following a 45-28 setback against Florida. The Bulldogs are getting set for the first of brutal back-to-back road games, as they travel to No. 2 Georgia next week.
Kickoff is set for 4:15 p.m. ET on Saturday at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Texas is favored by 37.5 points in the latest Texas vs. Mississippi State odds, while the over/under is up from 55.5 to 62.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Mississippi State vs. Texas picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on Mississippi State vs. Texas. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the game:
- Texas vs. Mississippi State spread: Texas -37.5
- Texas vs. Mississippi State over/under: 62.5 points
- Texas vs. Mississippi State money line: Texas -10000, Mississippi State +1325
- Texas vs. Mississippi State picks: See picks here
Why Texas can cover
Texas has arguably the best quarterback situation of any team in college football with two elite starting options. Junior Quinn Ewers has missed the last 1.5 games due to an abdominal injury. Freshman Arch Manning has been excellent in relief, throwing for more than 480 yards and six touchdowns during that stretch. Manning reportedly will get the start in this one again as Texas is the huge favorite and then has next week off before facing Oklahoma in Week 7.
Junior running back Jaydon Blue was the featured player in the win over Louisiana-Monroe, rushing for 120 yards and three touchdowns. He is facing a Mississippi State defense that has allowed at least 30 points in each of its last three games. The Longhorns have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games, having no trouble covering large numbers. See which team to pick here.
Why Mississippi State can cover
Texas was only a 35-point favorite against Colorado State in its season opener, and it is an even heavier favorite against an SEC opponent. The Bulldogs have scored at least 17 points in every game of their three-game skid, including 28 against Florida last week. They rushed for 240 yards and three touchdowns in that game, averaging 4.3 yards per carry.
Senior quarterback Blake Shapen is out for the season due to a shoulder injury, so freshman Michael Van Buren Jr. will take over. He led two extended drives last week against Florida, capping one of them off with a rushing touchdown. Junior wide receiver Kevin Coleman Jr. has been the top threat in the passing attack, catching 22 passes for 287 yards and two scores. See which team to pick here.
How to make Texas vs. Mississippi State picks
The model has simulated Mississippi State vs. Texas 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Texas vs. Mississippi State, and which side of the spread is hitting well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mississippi State vs. Texas spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that’s up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.
